Christopher F. Chyba pointed out: “New technologies may influence crisis decision-making in various ways, driving these decisions toward or away from nuclear war. One key factor is whether the technology significantly advances preemptive strike capabilities, making the opponent more likely to strike first or retaliate more quickly upon warning of an attack.”33 Technological advancements in cyber, space, and artificial intelligence constantly challenge the offensive-defensive balance among global strategic forces established since the Cold War, shifting “first-strike stability” towards “first-strike instability.” The militarization of Starlink enhances the U.S.’s combat capabilities and deterrence advantage from both strategic offensive and defensive dimensions, leading to increased imbalance in the offensive-defensive dynamic, confrontation posture, and power comparison between the United States and its strategic adversaries, potentially significantly impacting first-strike stability (see Figure 2).
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